US RGO in Pakistan edging towards its strategic prize? Signing an anaconda mortgage, now?
In Clausewitzian terms, war is an extension of politics by other means- so this article is not about what happens on the battlefield- the question is what is the political goal here by US RGO?
First and foremost, everything that is happening in Pakistan, it is taking place to contain and destroy China. And needs to be understood in that very context-
China OBOR is a grand strategy that US never had- it is a unique “borderless cyber community” in the making and Asia’s chance to development and security instead of becoming a “western bulwark” (ref, Prof. Mearsheimer) like Ukraine.
OBOR is unique in the sense that it is “not an exclusive club”- It is a vision, a ‘grand strategy’, a direction that occurs once in few hundred years – it is much more than US ever had. (Robert Kaplan)
Hear, Hear! Who is our enemy? Who is our friend? Who is the imperial power?
Pakistan: From old text book recipe, Imran khan can no longer be tolerated, that’s a strategic win and ‘all other measures’ are small steps towards a bigger prize by the hegemon. The world is changing and a new approach is required by the great powers, an important takeaway here is, finally Africa is questioning the RGO across Africa, the ‘assassination of their leaders’ by the west and military coups, and setting up of kleptocratic Governments to steal their resources!
‘China never sponsored a coup in Africa – Can West say the same for itself ?
Who threw Nkrumah? British and Americans
Who killed President? Belgians and Americans
Who killed Gaddafi?
They killed our leaders to get our resources…’
Just like Pakistan and other Asian states, they too brushed aside the Western concern of Chinese association with Asians and African as domination – imperial domination. China, they recalled, has not only invested but the only country who actually lost lives during the construction of railways and other infrastructure. China has a history of friendship, trade and respect as compared to the history of humiliation, exploitation and slavery of the west in Africa and Asia.
Earlier Indian FM Jaishankar
remarks at GLOBESEC were in resonance with African policy to go with the world, in the best interest of their people.
Imran Khan message to the west has been to live together in new time, in new way, in a new world with dignity, with respect, with cooperation and solidarity. And the nation follows that today as one force.
From ‘swallowing a porcupine’ (Ukraine) to anaconda mortgage (Pakistan)
Niall Ferguson explains in his article about US turning history pages and reviving old cold war tactics to prevent a multipolar world & peer competitor.
‘Every step of this strategy is based on dubious history. Ukraine is not Afghanistan in the 1980s,’ he explains.
And neither is Pakistan! Why the seemingly strategic win might just fire back like it did in Afghanistan. Conquering a country in the age of nationalism is a prescription for never ending trouble. Pakistani nationalism is a powerful force and Pakistanis are a hyper nationalist force today; no invasion or interference or Mr. Zelensky holds a chance to survive in this 21st century.
The going narrative In Pakistan:
Straight From the archives; How will US be remembered by the 21st century Pakistani youth?
The article in Brookings explains, ‘Under Biden, Pakistan and the US face a dilemma’ –Tribune article, ‘Why is Biden ignoring Pakistan’, December 27, 2021 explains how Biden is handling the world; its focus more on Southeast Asia and openly snubbing Pakistan and Imran khan, ‘Imran Khan, Pakistan’s Prime Minister, is the only major world leader Biden has not talked to on the telephone. Islamabad has not been visited by any senior American official who is close to President Biden.’
https://tribune.com.pk/story/2335754/why-is-biden-ignoring-pakistan
Deputy secretary of state Wendy Sherman snubbed Imran Khan government while in India!
The first tactical win of RGO brought slogans & chants:
Americi Ghulami Na Manzoor! Absolutely Not! Kia Hum Koi Ghulam Hian?
An attempt on Imran Khan life, which is the brightest of ‘Redlines’ would bring catastrophic consequences for US in the region. It is the brightest of all red lines for Pakistani youth today and no matter what you say or how the international establishment play to make it look like Pakistan armed forces could be involved in it; but Imran Khan has always said it out loud:
Debunking Arshad Sharif assassination:
Now, it is all about incidents and events that can maximize anti- Army drive (Hate army/COAS) and label worldwide Pakistan armed forces and agencies as a terrorist force- as it was in Iraq; the game of narratives; and today from ‘murderer Putin’ to ‘evil’ China and so on and so forth.
Arshad sharif assassination provides international establishment (West) the strategic data it needs to check if the ‘time’ (right amount of anti-army emotions) is right to strike the final blow- After all, data is the ‘new oil’ and it gives an edge to the enemy to decide when to hit Imran Khan. If ‘hate data’ is insufficient to achieve the desired goal then another incident or event may be created in ‘few weeks’ time’ to bring it to the boiling point. Time plays a major factor here.
Though, the technique may be new as compared to the leaflets for anti-Saddam Hussein /Iraq campaign; the recipe being taken rather lazily out of the oldest ‘cauldrons of chaos’. It will not yield the desired results. The world has changed and so should the great power politics.
‘You cannot step in the same river twice’.